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Consequences of Context: How the social, economic and political context affects voting

Political Methodology
Voting
Electoral Behaviour
Voting Behaviour
P493
Wouter van der Brug
University of Amsterdam
Paul Beck
Ohio State University
Marina Costa Lobo
Universidade de Lisboa Instituto de Ciências Sociais

Abstract

This book offers a systematic and consistent analysis of the ‘consequences of context’ for the process through which citizens decide on their electoral behaviour. It derives contextual variation from cross-national and within-country comparisons. The contextual dimensions investigated pertain to the political, economic and social domains, and their impact is investigated on the factors that drive citizens’ decision to participate in an election and on their subsequent decision of which party to vote for. The book thus focuses not on whether people vote and for which party, but instead on more fundamental questions about contextual effects on the determinants of electoral participation and the vote. The analyses are based on an integrated database of national election studies conducted in European countries and utilises an innovative multi-level logistic regression methodology. This methodology, elaborated in detail early on and subsequently applied in each of the following chapters, identifies the moderating effect, or the “consequences”, of altogether nine classes of different context conditions on individual level determinants of electoral participation and party choice. In the book launch session the editors first present the plan of the book, then two discussants assess what of this plan has been achieved. Finally the online appendix of the book and the database on which it rests are introduced and future uses of the book and these accompanying materials are discussed.

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