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Voting Strategically in Different Institutional Contexts

Elections
Institutions
Voting
Philipp Harfst
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen
Philipp Harfst
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen

Abstract

In this paper we study the impact of different electoral institutions on strategic voting. Starting from a precise definition of strategic voting that takes voters' preferences, their evaluation of the chances of parties to get elected and their final vote choice into account, we distinguish three types of possible strategic behavior in elections. Making use of panel data from an original survey covering three subsequent elections in Bavaria (regional and national elections in 2013 and the European election in 2014), we study how the use of different electoral rules (two vote system with 5% threshold vs. pure list vote without threshold) influence individual voters' party preferences as well as their decision to vote strategically. Our paper contributes to the analysis of individual electoral behavior and the impact of electoral institutions on preference formation as well as the willingness and ability of voters to cast a strategic vote.