Modelling the Impact of Mass Protests on Political Change

The relationship between the civic participation and socio-political changes is a well- developed subject of studies appeared in the multidisciplinary fields of social sciences. Many of the studies presented in the chosen research field are trying to use a well-developed scientific apparatus to describe and analyze a new emerging phenomenon of social movements and mass protests of the 2000 and 2010s. Mass protests and their influence on socio-political changes require studying, considering all the complexity of socio political, and, consequently, modelling the trajectories of socio-political changes and the role of protestors in them. In this research we intend to fulfill the existing methodological gap by applying the Network Analysis and other relational methods to the analysis of mass protests as a factor and actor of political changes. These methods allow us to assess the multidimensional, complicated system of inter-related factors and actors, which is different from studies, where a unidimensional linear cause-and-effect models are applied. Using a theoretical model of factors and actors as drivers of situational, institutional and policy change, and methodological tools of Network Analysis and related methods, we are willing to examine the impact of mass protests into the socio-political change.