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Issue Packages in Electoral Competition

Democracy
Campaign
Agenda-Setting
Lorenzo De Sio
LUISS University
Lorenzo De Sio
LUISS University
Till Weber
City University of New York

Abstract

While traditional models of electoral competition assumed constraint to one ideological dimension, more recent models expand the political space to a multitude of issue dimensions. We adopt a perspective lying in between these two approaches. Electoral competition is structured by issue packages – combinations of a limited number of issues that are not only promising electorally to each party, but also maximize synergies with other package components. Issue packages unite the best of both model worlds: Like unidimensionality, they emphasize the need for integrated policy platforms and respect voters’ limited processing capacity; like multidimensionality, they reflect the complexity of an increasingly diversified issue landscape and capture dynamic campaign incentives. Using a new comparative dataset linking representative mass surveys from six European countries with Twitter analysis of campaign activity, our analysis shows that issue emphasis in campaign platforms is better explained by a model that takes the synergies between issues in potential packages into account, compared to a model of multiple, but separate issues. Our theory explains why electoral competition remains relatively structured, while at the same time embracing intricate maneuvering.