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Zero the Hero: Upgrading Targeted Surveys to Case-Control Designs

Contentious Politics
Political Methodology
Political Participation
Social Movements
Methods
Richard Traunmüller
Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
Richard Traunmüller
Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
Katerina Vrablikova
University of Bath

Abstract

Targeted surveys of participants are increasingly popular in research on political activism. While this strategy solves problems of national surveys by effectively reaching rare types of activists, they also suffer a major drawback: since they only include participants and no “zeros”, i.e. non-participants, they are ill suited to test the determinants of activism. We propose “case-control designs”, widely used in epidemiology, to expand targeted surveys to a more powerful design by supplementing the cases with „zeros“, i.e. eligible controls that allow us to test causal effects. In this regard, the case-control design can smoothly upgrade more qualitatively oriented studies and connect them to quantitative approaches, taking advantage of the strength of both. Using the example of protest participation at a recent anti-austerity demonstration, we illustrate the necessary steps of our appraoch: a) the definition and sampling of participants, b) the selection of zeros and c) the analysis of case-control data.