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Matching candidate nomination, ethnic voting, and ethnic representation

Elections
Migration
Political Parties
Voting
Candidate
Immigration
Chloé Janssen
Université Libre de Bruxelles
Constanza Sanhueza Petrarca
WZB Berlin Social Science Center
Chloé Janssen
Université Libre de Bruxelles
Lucas Geese
University of East Anglia
Diana Schacht
University of Bamberg
Pierre Baudewyns
Université catholique de Louvain

Abstract

Do parties’ decisions to select candidates of immigrant-origin have an effect on ethnic voting? We make a cross-sectional and cross-time of electoral systems and candidate selection procedure using parties as the unit of analysis. This paper focuses on two related dimensions. First, we determine which factors influence the selection of immigrant-origin candidates within each party. By preferring certain aspirants over others and by providing a list of candidates who are supposed to represent different dimensions (socio-economic, cultural, and ethnic) of the electoral districts, parties may try to maximize their own vote shares. Among all those dimensions, the ethnic dimension is an important one. Electoral districts differ in terms of varieties (different ethnic groups) and amplitude (proportion of those ethnic groups). Second, we address the link between the dynamics of candidate selection and the vote share for parties. We will mainly focus on the relation between the proportion of selected CIO candidates on lists and vote share for parties.