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Political Distrust and Democratic Norms

Comparative Politics
Political Sociology
Quantitative
Causality
Public Opinion
Survey Experiments
Survey Research
Empirical
Edmund Kelly
University of Oxford
Edmund Kelly
University of Oxford

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Abstract

Trust in political institutions is in long-run decline across most advanced industrial democracies, but the consequences of this distrust for democracy are less clear. Previous studies on these consequences are limited in the topics they consider, and they are largely reliant on cross-sectional observational approaches which cannot identify causal relationships. One such overlooked topic is whether political distrust undermines support for democratic norms. While it has often been argued that political distrust threatens democratic legitimacy, previous work on support for democratic norms focuses instead on democratic discounting. In this paper, by analysing panel data and a survey experiment, I conduct a causally rigorous test of how political distrust may reduce support for democratic norms in two ways: by prompting direct support for authoritarian values and by increasing support for antidemocratic behavior by partisan in-groups. In so doing, I provide a more comprehensive test of whether we should be concerned about political distrust threatening democratic legitimacy.