Strategic Coexistence or Security Risk? U.S.–China Military and Economic Interests in Djibouti Implications for U.S. International Leadership Under Trump 2.0

Djibouti is a strategic point for the interests of two rival major powers: the US and China. While much of the research defines their presence as a geopolitical rivalry, this study explores the potential for cooperation between the U.S. and China, examining the resulting benefits and threats to both parties and the region. Examining this topic is particularly important as the US and China compete in many parts of the world, and Djibouti is just an example of power struggles. Understanding how these two powers manage their presence in such a strategically important but politically unstable environment can provide insights into the future of interactions in other contested regions during Trump 2.0, such as the Panama Canal or Taiwan. Methodologically, the study uses a qualitative case study approach, drawing on US and Chinese military and economic data in Djibouti. The comparative analysis highlights areas of cooperation, such as counter-terrorism efforts, as well as sources of strategic resistance, including intelligence concerns. The article contributes to the broader discussion of the US-China relationship and offers important insights into the risks and opportunities associated with the balance of power and the US international leadership in strategically contested regions.