The survival of cabinet ministers in Chile, 2006-2022

The survival of cabinet ministers is explained by exogenous variables associated to cabinet formation and reshuffles, but the political ideology of the government, the type of ministry they are appointed to and to individual traits of ministers, including their age, educational training, prior experience and political affiliation. Here, we study the survival of cabinet minister in Chile’s presidential system between 2006 and 2022. With data from the 207 cabinet appointments for 171 persons, we analyze the determinants of cabinet survival for individual ministers. On average, cabinet appointments lasted 638 days, with the longest serving ministers in a single appointment lasting 1461 (an entire 4-year term) and the shortest serving appointment lasting 3 days. Our dependent variable is the number of days the minister stays in his or her post and we test the validity of 5 hypothesis that we postulate based on the claims made by previous literature.