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Public preferences for the COVID-19 Reopening Policies in Italy: An experimental assessment

Governance
Government
Populism
Gianni Betti
Università degli Studi di Siena
Mattia Guidi
Pierangelo Isernia
Università degli Studi di Siena
sergio martini
Università degli Studi di Siena
Francesco Olmastroni
Università degli Studi di Siena
Paolo Pin
Università degli Studi di Siena

Abstract

In 2020, governments across the globe faced the challenge of balancing the protection of their citizens’ health with the need to contain the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, we examine public opinion preferences for different strategies factoring in economic and health costs, in Italy. We embedded a discrete choice experiment in an online survey administered between April 24 and 28, 2020. Respondents were randomly assigned to receive two alternative scenarios (re-opening vs. lockdown) with different health and economic consequences. We show that, in general, containment measures were preferred to re-opening, and that Italians were mostly concerned about minimizing deaths from COVID-19. We then test the differential impact of sociodemographic, ideological and attitudinal profiles, including populist attitudes, in explaining these preferences.