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Conformity Against Extremism: Authoritarians’ Aversion to the Far-Right

Extremism
Immigration
Quantitative
Electoral Behaviour
Voting Behaviour
Christos Vrakopoulos
University of Edinburgh
Christos Vrakopoulos
University of Edinburgh
Kris Dunn
University of Leeds

Abstract

Current research into why people vote for far-right parties frequently focuses on the importance of immigration and related psychological considerations such as cultural and economic threat. While some of this research considers individual-level moderating effects from voter characteristics, there is little consideration of the role of people’s values in these explanations. Values are fundamental to determining people’s motivations and stand out as a clear individual-level, psychological characteristic that should moderate people’s beliefs on their voting behavior. In this paper, we propose that the authoritarian predisposition, a values orientation concerned with the trade-off between individual autonomy and social conformity, acts to moderate people’s beliefs about immigration on whether they vote for a far-right party. Using rounds 1-10 of the European Social Survey cumulative dataset, our logistic regression models confirm that the positive effect of negative immigration beliefs on voting for far-right parties decreases as peoples’ authoritarian predisposition strengthen. We conclude that people’s willingness to vote for the far-right is not just a matter of agreeing with their anti-immigration policy positions but is also affected by their willingness to vote for a non-mainstream party, something those with a stronger authoritarian predisposition, and a stronger attachment to social norms, are less willing to do.