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Can Misinformation Campaigns Affect Attitudes Toward LGBTQ+ Rights—and What Can Be Done About It? Experimental Evidence from Stockholm Pride

Contentious Politics
Public Opinion
Survey Experiments
LGBTQI
Michal Grahn
Uppsala Universitet
Phillip Ayoub
University College London
Michal Grahn
Uppsala Universitet

Abstract

In summer 2025, Sweden’s neo-Nazi organization Nordiska Motståndsrörelsen (NMR) circulated fake posters using the logo of RFSL, the country’s national LGBTQ+ rights organization, falsely linking Pride to pedophilia. Released around Stockholm Pride, the posters spread widely across social media and public spaces. This episode offers a rare real-world case of targeted anti-LGBTQ+ disinformation in one of the world’s most LGBTQ-accepting societies. We field a preregistered four-arm vignette experiment to examine how exposure to this misinformation shapes attitudes toward LGBTQ+ people and Pride, and whether different corrective strategies can mitigate its effects. Respondents are randomly assigned to a control group, exposure to the poster, exposure via a newspaper article noting it might be fake, or exposure via an article featuring explicit counterspeech from RFSL representatives. The findings provide new insight into the effectiveness of far-right disinformation in eroding tolerance toward sexual and gender minorities—and how its impact can be reduced.