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Proportional Representation and Its Anomalies

Elections
Voting
Candidate
Quantitative
Comparative Perspective
Electoral Behaviour
Voting Behaviour
S50
Dariusz Stolicki
Jagiellonian University
Marek Kamiński
University of California, Irvine


Abstract

Proportional representation (PR) is widely portrayed as the “fairest” formula for translating votes into seats, credited with inclusiveness, minority representation, and often higher turnout. Yet beneath this positive reputation lie empirical irregularities that shape party systems, coalition bargaining, and citizen–elite linkages in ways that are only partially understood. Building on foundational insights from apportionment theory and paradoxes (e.g., Balinski–Young) but turning decisively to real-world dynamics, this Section invites contributions that explain when, why, and how PR produces outcomes that surprise designers and users alike. Our primary focus are the effects of PR systems—intended and unintended—from legislative proportionality, responsiveness, and descriptive representation to turnout, paradoxes, and accountability under open and closed lists, and how they are mediated by unexpected voting and competition patterns, manipulation efforts by political actors, strategic behavior by voters, and ballot design. In particular, we are interested on anomalies that are both theoretically plausible and empirically important – geographic imbalance despite national proportionality, chaotic behavior in response to small shifts in votes, votes that are wasted or otherwise less effective because of failure to follow assumptions of system designers, spoiler dynamics within multi-party fields, and various kinds of nonmonotonicities – while remaining open to settings where PR interacts with mixed, majoritarian, or direct-democratic institutions. Methodologically, we welcome formal modeling, statistical inference from empirical data, seat–vote simulations, design-based strategies, and mixed-method process tracing in cases where institutional change or electoral reform creates leverage. We particularly encourage cross-national comparisons and within-country designs exploiting natural experiments, district-magnitude heterogeneity, threshold reforms, mixed-member compensation rules, and the introduction of open lists or preference voting. By foregrounding anomalies – not as curiosities but as durable features with downstream consequences for representation and governance – this Section aims to update the empirical balance between PR and SMD research agendas, specify the boundary conditions of classic theorems, and generate actionable diagnostics for designers and reformers. The Section will also connect to ongoing work presented in cognate venues (e.g., Public Choice Society), creating a pipeline from theory to measurement to policy-relevant evaluation. We invite papers, data notes, and replications that sharpen concepts, improve identification, and produce reusable tools for scholars and practitioners considering proportional reforms. We propose prioritizing six primary research areas as suggestions for Panel themes: (1) PR anomalies, paradoxes, and irregular outcomes – geographic malapportionment within proportional tiers, nonmonotonicities, threshold pathologies, spoiler effects, sensitivity to list structures, and counterintuitive seat bonuses – using comparative designs and simulation. (2) Downstream effects (intended and unintended): Assessment of whether canonical promises of PR (inclusion, turnout, descriptive representation, legislative proportionality) hold once we consider invalid ballots, ballot design, district magnitude variation, and manipulation efforts. Investigation of unintended effects on representation, competition, accountability, and incentives. (3) PR and party competition will examine coordination patterns and failures, coalition formation incentives and patterns, strategic entry/exit, split-merge dynamics, barriers to entry, strategic party voting, geographic coordination, and electoral engineering intended to fragment or consolidate arenas. (4) PR and Candidate Competition will analyze open- and flexible-list dynamics, intra- vs. inter-party margins, primacy and rank effects, campaign personalization, strategic personal voting, effects of quotas and other minority placement rules, effect of ballot design on intra-list rankings, and the micro-geographies of preference votes. (5) Negotiated PR will study settings where proportional division arises not from a predefined formula, but from bargaining: proportional intra-coalition arrangements (including within informal coalitions and stand-down pacts formed under non-PR rules), portfolio and committee allocation rules. (6) PR in Non-Standard Contexts will bring PR logic to direct democracy, participatory budgeting, primary elections, and transitional justice arrangements, identifying how proportional ideas diffuse into adjacent decision rules.
Code Title Details
P098 Coalition Accountability, Opposition Dynamics, and Perceived Responsiveness View Panel Details
P186 Electoral-System Consequences and Election Integrity in Contemporary CEE Cases View Panel Details
P379 Open Lists, Preferential Voting, and Intra-Party Competition Effects View Panel Details
P432 PR System Design, Formula Engineering, and Unintended Consequences View Panel Details