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PR System Design, Formula Engineering, and Unintended Consequences

Elections
Quantitative
Electoral Behaviour
P432
Dariusz Stolicki
Jagiellonian University
Jarosław Flis
Jagiellonian University

Abstract

This panel examines unintended consequences of institutional choices within proportional representation (PR), highlighting how design details reshape outcomes and fairness perceptions. Paper 1 studies substitute-vote proposals in Germany’s post-2023 mixed-member proportional reform, linking them to orphaned constituencies under second-vote coverage and to substitute party choices to limit threshold “wasted votes,” and discussing effects on representation, strategic incentives, and acceptance of reform. Paper 2 analyzes divisor design in modified Sainte-Laguë, using Denmark’s post-2007 rise in district magnitude and the switch to D’Hondt to model how the first divisor affects proportionality, small-party entry, and compensatory-seat dynamics via simulations and proportionality indices. Paper 3 investigates Israel’s restricted two-list apparentements in national and local elections, examining their frequency and the reasons they can violate monotonicity and distort proportional seat allocations amid contrasting expectations in prior studies. Paper 4 maps the “grey side” of implementing PR—indivisible seats, local representation, and candidate selection—showing how extending proportionality to ranked or multi-choice ballots creates paradoxes and how list openness and district magnitude complicate proportionality and bargaining power. Paper 5 explains the Czechia system’s “stickiness” while tracing the 2021 court-triggered redesign as “reform without change,” and details pathologies including coalition-level preferential-vote inversions and the emergence of low-transparency “hidden coalitions.”

Title Details
The Anomalous Effects of Apparentement in Israeli National and Local Elections View Paper Details
Are Mechanisms of Substitute Votes a Suitable Means of Solving Certain Problems Associated with Electoral Systems of Proportional Representation? View Paper Details
The Grey Side of Proportional Representation View Paper Details
Divisor Choices and District Magnitude: Unintended Consequences in Modified Sainte-Laguë Systems View Paper Details
The Unbearable Lightness of Reform: The Stickiness, Paradoxes, and Dark Sides of the Czech Proportional System View Paper Details