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ECPR

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Could the movement of Russia and China toward a quasi-alliance be a significant factor affecting EU-China relations?


Abstract

Simultaneous U.S. pressure on China and Russia has strengthened strategic coordination between Moscow and Beijing. In contrast to its earlier cautious stance, in recent joint documents China has expressed support for Russia's security concerns in Europe. Meanwhile, it remains unclear to what extent this will go beyond political rhetoric and whether both sides will act within the single framework, developing relations with the European Union. Since China's main security focus is in Asia-Pacific, Chinese-Russian standard anti-American narrative is unlikely to promote China's rapprochement with Russia in Europe beyond the usual rhetorical support. As a result, coordination between the two countries will be limited, as determined by their economic interests and the history of their relations with Europe. Based on pragmatic interests, Russia and China are more likely to act as separate independent players in Europe, with different priority partners and agendas for dialogue.