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Strategies of Secession and Counter-secession

Participation
International relations
WS22
Diego Muro
University of St Andrews
Ryan Griffiths
University of Sydney

Secessionism is a common feature in international life. As of 2011, there were 55 active secessionist movements around the world (Griffiths 2016). From Catalonia to Kurdistan to Kosovo, nations have tried to secede from their host states with varying degrees of success. These challenges represent the aspirations of stateless nations to gain independence, and they have value. But they also represent challenges to political order both within states and across the international system. In normative terms, this is contest between the right of stateless nations to self-determination and the right of states to maintain their territorial integrity (Osterud 1997; Fabry 2010; Griffiths 2017). Intra-state war has been a common outcome of this contest, implicated in about 50% of the civil wars in modern times (Sorens 2012, 3). Indeed, Walter has argued provocatively that secessionism is the chief source of violence in the world today, and Chenoweth and Stephan (2011) have concluded that the employment of violence may be a useful strategy for secessionists. The dynamics of secession (and counter-secession) are a complex and evolving set of phenomena, and a wide range of political scientists and IR scholars are now studying these relationships at the local, national, and international levels (Fabry 2010; Coggins 2014; Cunningham 2014; Bakke 2015. Regrettably, much less research has been devoted to examining the interactions between the domestic and international level and how these affect the development, mobilization, and strategies practiced by contemporary secessionist movements (Griffiths 2015; 2016; Muro & Vlaskamp 2016). That is, there is a notable divide in the research coming out of comparative politics – which typically focuses on specific movements and their contest with the state – and the work in international relations – which usually centers on the legal, normative, and diplomatic practices of the international community. These areas of research need to be brought into one unified discourse if we are to fully understand the dynamics of secession and counter-secession. This workshop will examine the ways in which the strategies of secession and counter-secession have been shaped by contemporary international and domestic politics (Ker-Lindsay 2012; Sorens 2012; Sterio 2013; Fazal and Griffiths 2014; Coggins 2014). The participants will be invited to answer the following research questions. Why is violence sometimes the result of secessionist activity? How does domestic support interact with the international context? What are the strategies that secessionist movements adopt when seeking independence, and how do they vary? How do secessionist leaders gain legitimacy in the eyes of their local, national, and international audiences, and does the success at one level compromise success at the other? How do changes in international norms and great power politics influence the strategies and success rates of independence efforts? How do regional organizations like the European Union affect secessionist outcomes? This workshop will explore these questions by drawing on a diverse body of scholars interested in secession, from both the field of comparative politics and international relations. The workshop has been endorsed by both the ECPR Standing Group on International Relations (SGIR) and the ECPR Standing Group on Political Violence (SGPV). Expected outcomes The workshop will result in two outcomes: 1. The development of a network of scholars from different sub-disciplines of political science and regional universities focused on the topic of secession. 2. The publication of the papers from the workshop in an edited volume (e.g., special issue in peer-reviewed journal or edited book) that will attract an interdisciplinary audience. Potential funding Funding would be sought by applying to national and international agencies, including the Fritz Thyssen Foundation and the Australian Research Council (ARC). Junior scholar participants can apply to the grants and scholarships who participate in ECPR organized or sponsored activities. Biographical notes Ryan Griffiths is a Senior Lecturer in the Department of Government and International Relations at the University of Sydney. His primary research area focuses on the dynamics of secession with a particular emphasis on the international and domestic causes of secessionist conflict over time. He is the author of Age of Secession: the International and Domestic Determinants of State Birth (Cambridge University Press), and he published related articles in International Studies Review, Review of International Studies, Nations and Nationalism, International Organization, among others. He is currently working on a book about the strategy of secession. Diego Muro is Lecturer in International Relations at the Handa Centre for the Study of Terrorism and Political Violence (CSTPV), University of St Andrews. His main research interests are political violence, ethno-nationalist conflict and comparative politics. He is the author of Ethnicity and Violence: The Case of Radical Basque Nationalism (Routledge, 2008) and co-editor of both Politics and Memory of the Transition: The Spanish Model (Routledge, 2011) and From Bullets to Ballots: The End of ETA (Routledge, 2017). He is currently working on another volume on the effectiveness of terrorism that will be published by Routledge in 2017. He has published in journals such as: Ethnic and Radical Studies, Ethnicities, Mediterranean Politics, Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, Nations and Nationalism, Politics, South European Society & Politics, Studies in Ethnicity and Nationalism, Studies in Conflict and Terrorism and West European Politics. References • Armitage, David. 2007. The Declaration of Independence: A Global History. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. • Aspinall, Edward. 2007. The Construction of Grievance: Natural Resources and Identity in a Separatist Conflict. Journal of Conflict Resolution 51(6): 571-585. • Bakke, Kristin. 2015. Decentralization and Intrastate Struggles: Chechnya, Punjab, and Québec. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. • Bartkus, Viva Ona. 1999. The Dynamic of Secession. Cambridge: Cambridge University Studies. • Beissinger, Mark R. 2002. Nationalist Mobilization and the Collapse of the Soviet State. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. • Bunce, Valerie. 1999. Subversive Institutions: The Design and the Destruction of Socialism and the State. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. • Chenoweth, Erica and Stephan, Maria J. 2011. Why Civil Resistance Works: The Strategic Logic of Nonviolent Conflict. New York: Columbia University Press. • Christou, Odysseas. 2009. The ties that bind: norms, networks, information, and the organization of political violence. PhD Dissertation. University of Texas, Austin. • Coggins, Bridget. 2014. Power Politics and State Formation in the Twentieth Century: The Dynamics of Recognition. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. • Crawford, James. 2006. The Creation of States in International Law, 2nd Edition. Oxford: Clarendon Press. • Collier, Paul, and Anke Hoeffler. 2002. The Political Economy of Secession. Development Research Group, World Bank, December 23, 2002. • Cunningham, Kathleen G. 2011. Divide and Conquer or Divide and Concede: How Do States Respond to Internally Divided Separatists? American Political Science Review 105 (2):275-297. • Cunningham, Kathleen G. 2013. Understanding Strategic Choice: The Determinants of Civil War and Nonviolent Campaign in Self-Determination Disputes. Journal of Peace Research 50 (3): 291-304. • Cunningham, Kathleen G. 2014. Inside the Politics of Self-Determination. Oxford: Oxford University Press. • Fabry, Mikulas. 2010. Recognizing States: International Society and the Establishment of New States. Oxford: Oxford University Press. • Fazal, Tanisha M., and Ryan D. Griffiths. 2014. Membership Has Its Privileges: The Changing Benefits of Statehood. International Studies Review 16 (1):79-106. • Fearon, James D., and David Laitin. 2003. Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War. American Political Science Review 97(1): 75-90. • Griffiths, Ryan D. 2015. Between Dissolution and Blood: How Administrative Lines and Categories Shape Secessionist Outcomes. International Organization 69(3): 731-751. • Griffiths, Ryan D. 2016. Age of Secession: The International and Domestic Determinants of State Birth. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. • Griffiths, Ryan D. 2017. Admission to the Sovereignty Club: The Past, Present, and Future of the International Recognition Regime. Territory, Politics, Governance. • Hale, Henry. 2008. The Foundations of Ethnic Politics: Separatism of States and Nations in Eurasia and the World. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. • Hechter, Michael. 1992. The Dynamics of Secession. Acta Sociologica 35(2): 267-283. • Hechter, Michael. 2000. Containing Nationalism. Oxford: Oxford University Press. • Heraclides, Alexis. 1991. The Self-Determination of Minorities in International Politics. London: Frank Cass. • Horowitz, Donald L. 2000. Ethnic Groups in Conflict. Berkeley: University of California Press. • Huszka, Beáta. 2014. Secessionist Movements and Ethnic Conflict: Debate-framing and rhetoric in independence campaigns. London: Routledge. • Jenne, Erin K., Stephen M. Saideman, and Will Lowe. 2007. Separatism as a Bargaining Posture: The Role of Leverage in Minority Radicalization. Journal of Peace Research 44(5): 539-558. • Ker-Lindsay, James. 2012. The Foreign Policy of Counter Secession: Preventing the Recognition of Contested States. Oxford: Oxford University Press. • Lecours, André. 2007. Basque Nationalism and the Spanish State. Las Vegas: University of Nevada Press. • Maddens, Bart, and Vanden Berghe, K. 2003. The identity politics of multicultural nationalism: a comparison between the regular public addresses of the Belgian and the Spanish monarchs (1990-2000). European journal of political research 42: 601-627. • Muro, Diego & Vlaskamp, Martijn. 2016. How do prospects of EU membership influence support for secession? A survey experiment in Catalonia and Scotland. West European Politics 39:6: 1115-1138. • Osterud, Oyvind. 1997. The Narrow Gate: Entry to the Club of Sovereign States. Review of International Studies 23(2): 167-184. • Paquin, Jonathan. 2010. A Stability-Seeking Power: U.S. Foreign Policy and Secessionist Conflicts. London: McGill-Queen’s University Press. • Pavkovic, Aleksandar, and Peter Radan (eds). 2011. The Ashgate Research Companion to Secession. Burlington: Ashgate. • Radan, Peter. 2008. Secession: A Word in Search of a Meaning. In On the Way to Statehood: Secession and Globalization, edited by Peter Radan and Aleksandar Pavkovic. Ashgate. • Roeder, Phil. 2007. Where Nation-States Come From. Princeton: Princeton University Press. • Saideman, Stephen M. 1998. Is Pandora’s Box Half Empty or Half Full? The Limited Virulence of Secessionism and the Domestic Sources of Disintegration. In The International Spread of Ethnic Conflict: Fear, Diffusion, and Escalation, edited by David A. Lake and Donald Rothchild. Princeton: Princeton University Press. • Saideman, Stephen M. 2001. The Ties That Divide: Ethnic Politics, Foreign Policy and International Conflict. New York: Columbia University Press. • Saideman, Stephen M. 2002. Discrimination in International Relations: Analyzing External Support for Ethnic Groups. Journal of Peace Research 39(1): 27-50. • Sorens, Jason. 2012. Secessionism: Identity, Interest, and Strategy. Montreal: McGill-Queen’s University Press. • Sterio, Milena, 2012. The Right to Self-determination Under International Law: "Selfistans," Secession, and the Rule of the Great Powers. Routledge. • Toft, Monica. 2002. Indivisible Territory, Geographic Concentration, and Ethnic War. Security Studies 12(2): 82-119. • Walter, Barbara. 2006a. Information, Uncertainty, and the Decision to Secede. International Organization 60(1): 105-135. • Walter, Barbara. 2006b. Building Reputation: Why Governments Fight Some Separatists but Not Others. American Journal of Political Science 50(2): 313-30. • Walter, Barbara. 2009. Reputation and Civil War: Why Separatist Conflicts Are So Violent. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Likely participants Although we would encourage the participation of scholars working on theoretical interpretations of secessionist movements and their interactions with the state, we are particularly keen to include and entice academics engaged in fine-grained empirical comparative analysis. Also, we are keen to attract scholars working not only on Europe, but also Africa and Asia. We are addressing equally political scientists (CP & IR) as well as sociologists and researchers in related fields. We have a number of potential participants in mind, and have already contacted some of them to confirm their interest in the workshop, including Odysseas Christou (University of Nicosia), Kathleen Cunningham (University of Maryland), Alexis Heraclides (Panteion University), Beáta Huszka (Eötvös Loránd University), James Ker-Lindsay (London School of Economics), André Lecours (University of Ottawa), Bart Maddens (Catholic University of Leuven) and Martijn Vlaskamp (Yale University). Type of papers We aim to bridge the scholarship on secession from the fields of comparative politics and international relations. The fragmentation and compartmentalization of specialized research currently hinders our understanding of the creation of new states. We invite theoretical, conceptual and empirical papers, which focus on how movements and states interact at the domestic and international level. In terms of selecting papers, the workshop has three overlapping objectives: 1. To develop a comparative analysis of the strategies of separatist movements and host states, and to construct a far more extensive and thorough empirical basis for the study of secession and counter-secession 2. To include theoretical contributions from those engaged in understanding, modelling and developing a two-level game understanding of secession with the tools of comparative politics and international relations. 3. To explore the legal, normative, and diplomatic practices surrounding the politics of secession both in Europe and the wider world, and examine how those practices shape the behavior of secessionist movements.

Title Details
Do Parent State Strategies Matter in Resolving Secessionist Conflicts with De Facto States? View Paper Details
Remedial Secession: Researching the Gap between Theory and Practice View Paper Details
The Two Québec Independence Referendums: Political Strategies and International Relations View Paper Details
Strategies of Secession and Counter Secession View Paper Details
Getting Right Back to Where They Started From: De Facto States Quest for the Status Quo and Reintegration View Paper Details
The Unrecognised States of the South Caucasus: Strategic Adjustments towards Recognition and Status Quo Instrumentalisation View Paper Details
Rebel Governance in De Facto States (1945-2016) View Paper Details
Struggling Over the Costs of Independence: Secessionist Actors and the Business Community View Paper Details
Viability as a strategy of secession View Paper Details
The EU in the Discourse of Secessionist Parties: From Safety Net to Prison? View Paper Details
Explaining Divergent Outcomes of the Bargaining Process over Self-Determination: Accommodation or Conflict? View Paper Details
Putting Secession in Comparative Perspective: Cases from Eurasia View Paper Details
Seeking Sovereignty in Abkhazia and South Ossetia: Maneuvring Georgia, Russia, and the EU View Paper Details
Playing Field Sets on Fire: Do Democratic Institutions Dilute Violence in Strategies of Secessionist Movements? View Paper Details