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Credit Lending as Two-Level Game: Troika-Debtor Negotiations in Cyprus and Portugal

Comparative Politics
Elites
European Politics
European Union
Executives
Policy Analysis
Political Economy
Coalition
Susanne Lütz
Freie Universität Berlin
Susanne Lütz
Freie Universität Berlin
Sven Hilgers
FernUniversität in Hagen
Sebastian Schneider
FernUniversität in Hagen

Abstract

Coordination of economic policies focuses on the negotiation of lending programs which tie the disbursement of loans to compliance with restrictive program conditionalities. So far, little attention has been given to the interaction between creditor coalitions and debtor countries in negotiating the conditionalities of the lending program and the modification of these during the course of the program. In our research we seek to find the conditions under which the debtor government, facing international and domestic constraints, enjoys a degree of latitude to weaken the program conditionalities in the country’s interest. Studying the cases of Portugal and Cyprus, we apply Putnam’s “two-level game” approach to analyze the international negotiation of loan conditionalities (Level 1) drawing on domestic factors of the debtor state (Level 2).